August 1997
QT211: QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS FOR MANAGEMENT

QUESTION 1 (Compulsory)

Total Marks: 20 Marks

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Solutions and allocated marks are indicated in green.
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1 (a) Will doubling the service rate of a single-channel queuing system halve the average waiting time in the queue? Give an explanation of your answer. [3]
[Hint : Formulae relating to queuing are provided].
From the formulae sheet where m is the average waiting time and l the mean arrival rate:

Doubling m gives a new waiting time

[2 marks]
[1 mark]
(b) The waiting time in queues may be reduced by increasing the number of servers. Give two other ways in which the waiting time might be reduced. [2]
Conducting training for the staff to speed up operations.
Increase the number of staff at the server.
Automate routine transactions so that these can be handled by machines.
1 mark for each point, maximum of 2 marks.
[2 marks]
(c) If the random variable X follows a Normal distribution with a mean of 24 and a variance of 9 i.e. X ~ N(24,9), and given that P(x > a) = 0.950, deduce the value of a. Explain your answer carefully (you might find it helpful to draw a diagram). [5]
Since P (X > a) > 0.5, a must be less than the mean
Standardising, so that we can use tables of the Z ~ N (0,1) distribution, we have (using the tables of the N (0,1) distribution), since P (X > a) = 0.95

[5 marks]
(d) Find the mean and standard deviation of the following set of numbers: [5]
2, 4, 8, 12, 5, 8, 10.
Mean is 49 / 7 = 7 [2]
s.d. is [2]
= 3.25 [1]
(e) Sketch the Venn Diagram for the expression A - B - C. [2]

[2 marks]
(f) Give three types of inventory cost (note: purchasing cost may not be used as an answer). [3]
Goodwill/stockout costs [1]
Carrying costs [1]
Ordering costs [1]