December 1998
PM217: PROJECT MANAGEMENT

QUESTION 2

Total Marks: 20 Marks

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2. (a) A key component of risk management is the ability to anticipate the different types of risk involved in a project. Four sources of risk in a project are technical risk, market risk, financial risk and human risk. Describe each of these four types of risk and in each case provide an example of the risk.
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In each of the following, award 1 mark for a suitable explanation, and 1 mark for a suitable example, up to a maximum of 8 marks.

  • Technical risk: the risk factors arising from either the development stage or from the operation stage of the deliverable. This is a particular danger for highly complex or new systems (1 mark). e.g. fundamental or novel research projects (1 mark), systems integration projects (1 mark) etc.
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  • Market risk: risk associated with failure of the developed product in the marketplace (1 mark). Any suitable real example (1 mark).
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  • Financial risk: the risk factors relating budget, cash-flow and the profit-margin on the product that is developed (1 mark). Can cause difficulties if e.g. late payment by customers (1 mark), over-spending on development equipment
    (1 mark), poor budgeting (1 mark) etc.
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  • Human risk: human risks are due to the unpredictability of people and is therefore probably the least controllable of risks (1 mark). e.g. key staff might leave (1 mark), employees might perform badly on a project (1 mark) or customers might change their minds about purchasing a project (1 mark) etc.

 

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(b) In risk management we attempt to minimise the risks associated with a project. The process of risk management is usually described in four phases. Identify each of these four phases and explain carefully what is involved in each of them.
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One mark is available for correctly identifying each of the four phases. A further two marks is available for a careful explanation which demonstrates a good level of understanding here. Answers which effectively say "risk identification involves the identification of risks" etc. should not receive any credit. Candidates must make at least two substantial points for each risk to obtain both marks.

  • Risk identification (1 mark): is the process of determining what features of a project might involve risks so as to avoid difficulties at a later stage of the project (1 mark). It must be undertaken carefully and systematically and focus on risks which are both internal and external to the project, and of all four types listed above in part (a) (1 mark).

 

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  • Risk assessment (1 mark): aims to identify how a particular risk or set of risks might affect the project (1 mark). As far as possible, the assessment should be quantitative, with some indication of the probabilities of the various outcome preferably based on previous experience (to avoid guessing) (1 mark).

 

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  • Risk response planning (1 mark): is the process of developing methods for dealing with risk events i.e. what actions should be taken firstly to avoid risk, and secondly to minimise the impact of risk events should they occur (1 mark). Generally approached by developing and following system standards, acquiring insurance, and developing planning alternatives (1 mark).

 

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  • Documentation (1 mark): most companies have a wide range of documentation which can provide a wealth of information which can be used to inform the entire risk-management process (1 mark). By keeping careful historical records of all areas of the company’s activities we produce an environment in which perceptions of the future can be based on informed judgement gained from previous experience (1 mark).
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